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Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Four Watchlist Names Report Before Rocket Lab Does, With VIX Back Above 21
SharkWater Trading • Space & Nuclear Desk • Earnings Calendar Four Watchlist Names Report Before Rocket Lab Does, With VIX Back Above 21November 3, 2026
The CalendarEvery date below comes from the issuer's own investor page or press release, read this morning. Two caveats. Nebius's date announcement (October 30) was seen as a headline only. AST SpaceMobile's page showed no date.
Source: company investor pages and press releases (RDW Oct 29, OKLO Oct 23, SMR Oct 6, WULF Oct 12, RKLB Oct 20, LUNR Oct 29, 2026), read November 3, 2026. The Volatility ReadingCboe's page showed 21.67 spot, 21.15 previous close, 21.66 open, and a 52-week range of 13.38 to 35.30, labeled "Data as of 12:10 PM 11/3/2026" with no time zone. This run started at 12:10 UTC, which is before the U.S. open, so the label does not reconcile with a live session print. Treat the number as a snapshot, not a quote. Friday's close was 19.42 and Monday's early read was 18.89, so the previous close of 21.15 implies Monday finished sharply higher. What drove it is not verified. Pull the live VIX and your own chain before pricing anything into these prints. Earnings week with VIX climbing is a small boat leaving harbor as the barometer drops. The trip can still pay. You just stop pretending the water is flat. What Is Not KnownRocket Lab's newsroom shows its 99th Electron launch, dated November 2, 2026, plus the November 9 results date. No EDGAR filing dated November 2 or 3 turned up for the issuers I could read. That coverage is partial: several feeds truncated and eleven tickers could not be reached. No option chains were pulled. Implied moves for these prints are not in this post because I have no live chain to cite. The Bull Case
The Bear Case
Tight lines, SharkWater Educational and informational purposes only. Not personalized investment advice. All figures sourced as noted and accurate as of publication. Options involve substantial risk of loss. The author may hold positions in securities discussed. Do your own work. |
Monday, November 2, 2026
Rocket Lab Reports November 9 as the VIX Gives Back Part of Friday's Jump
SharkWater Trading • Pre-Market Desk • Earnings Calendar Rocket Lab Reports November 9 as the VIX Gives Back Part of Friday's JumpNovember 2, 2026
The DatesRocket Lab's release is dated October 20, 2026 and states results come after the close on November 9, with the webcast at 2:00 p.m. PT (5:00 p.m. ET). That is seven days out. The space group has not had a company-specific catalyst since the October filings went quiet, so this print sets the tone for the sector. Nebius (Nasdaq: NBIS) posted a release on October 30 announcing the date of its third-quarter call. I read the headline only. The date itself is not verified. NVIDIA's call is Tuesday, November 17, at 2 p.m. PT per its October 28 newsroom release. I did not open the release body or a matching 8-K.
Sources: Rocket Lab release dated 2026-10-20; NVIDIA newsroom release dated 2026-10-28; Nebius newsroom 2026-10-30 (headline only). Read 2026-11-02. The Volatility ReadThe Cboe page printed a VIX spot of 18.89, an open of 19.05 and a previous close of 19.42, labeled "Data as of 9:26 AM 11/2/2026." The label gives no time zone, and the data is delayed at least 20 minutes. The 52-week range is 13.38 to 35.30. Friday's close was up 12.91 percent, and I found no cause for that move. Today's partial reversal has no identified cause either. I did not pull an options chain and state no premiums. A swell that rolls in under a flat sky still moves the boat. You check the buoy, not the sky. What the Filings ShowEDGAR submissions feeds read November 2, 2026 for NVIDIA, Rocket Lab, Micron, Broadcom, Nebius, Cerebras and AGNC show nothing dated October 30 or later. Newest entries: Nebius October 29, Cerebras Form 4 on October 28 (accession 0001628280-26-067978, contents not opened), Micron October 15, NVIDIA October 13, Rocket Lab October 2, Broadcom September 25, AGNC September 11. Most feeds were cut by the fetch tool before the form-type array, so a quiet feed is strong evidence, not proof. What I Could Not VerifyEDGAR blocked my company lookups, so IREN, TeraWulf, Oklo, NuScale, AST SpaceMobile, Intuitive Machines, Planet, Redwire, Wolfspeed and Orchid Island were not re-checked today. No primary-source price or volume exists for this morning, so the 5 percent and double-volume screens did not run. Distributions, NAV and premium or discount for the pre-IPO and income vehicles are NOT VERIFIED. The Bull Case
The Bear Case
Tight lines, SharkWater Educational and informational purposes only. Not personalized investment advice. All figures sourced as noted and accurate as of publication. The author may hold positions in securities discussed. Do your own work. |
Sunday, November 1, 2026
NVIDIA Sets November 17 Earnings Call as the Filings Tape Goes Quiet
SharkWater Trading • Weekend Desk • Earnings Calendar NVIDIA Sets November 17 Earnings Call as the Filings Tape Goes QuietNovember 1, 2026
The Earnings DateNVIDIA posted "NVIDIA Sets Conference Call for Third-Quarter Financial Results" on October 28, 2026. The newsroom text reads that the company will host the call on Tuesday, November 17, at 2 p.m. PT (5 p.m. ET). That gives the watchlist a hard anchor. Cloud and data center names (NBIS, IREN, WULF) and the chip group (MU, AVGO, CBRS, WOLF) will trade into that print for the next 16 days. I read the date off the newsroom listing, not the press release or an 8-K. The matching 8-K, if one exists, is not verified. What the Filings ShowThe newest entries by issuer, as read from EDGAR submissions feeds on November 1, 2026: Nebius, October 29 (Form 144 accession 0001950047-26-010478 and Form 4 accession 0001513845-26-000143, both already covered in the October 30 post). Cerebras (Nasdaq: CBRS), Form 4 on October 28 and Form 144 on October 27, neither opened. Orchid Island (NYSE: ORC), October 23. NVIDIA, October 13. IREN, October 13, a proxy set. Micron, October 15. Rocket Lab, October 2. Everything else last filed in September or earlier.
Source: SEC EDGAR submissions JSON, read 2026-11-01. The fetch tool cut most feeds before the form-type array, so dates and accession numbers are verbatim but form types are not for most rows. A quiet feed is strong evidence, not proof, that nothing was filed. The Volatility ReadThe Cboe VIX page printed a spot of 19.42, a change of +12.91 percent (2.22), an open of 18.43 and a previous close of 17.20, labeled "Data as of 8:15 PM 10/30/2026." The 52-week range is 13.38 to 35.30. This is the same reading as yesterday. The markets are closed, so a refresh would carry no new information until Monday. The page lists its most active VIX call at the 22 strike expiring 11/11/2026 and its most active put at the 11 strike expiring 11/24/2026. I did not pull a chain and do not state premiums. A harbor on Sunday looks calm because the boats are tied up. The tide table still says what Monday morning looks like. What I Could Not VerifyNo primary-source price or volume exists for any name, so the 5 percent and double-volume screens did not run. Rocket Lab, Intuitive Machines and AST SpaceMobile newsrooms were unreadable (two errors and one robots block). The SEC daily index returned an error. FLY, KEEL, XE, RVI, VCX, ARKVX and THTA did not resolve on EDGAR, so distributions, NAV and premium or discount for the income and pre-IPO group are NOT VERIFIED. The last Destiny Tech100 NAV I have is $34.30 per share as of June 30, 2026. The Bull Case
The Bear Case
Tight lines, SharkWater Educational and informational purposes only. Not personalized investment advice. All figures sourced as noted and accurate as of publication. The author may hold positions in securities discussed. Do your own work. |
Saturday, October 31, 2026
VIX Jumps 12.91 Percent to 19.42 as the Week Closes
SharkWater Trading • Weekend Desk • Volatility VIX Jumps 12.91 Percent to 19.42 as the Week ClosesOctober 31, 2026
The Volatility ReadThe Cboe page printed a VIX spot of 19.42, a change of +2.22, an open of 18.43 and a previous close of 17.20. The 52-week range on the same page runs from 13.38 to 35.30. At 19.42 the index sits closer to the bottom of that range than the top. Yesterday's scan caught a midday reading of 18.69. The Friday figure is higher still, so the buying of protection kept going into the close.
Source: Cboe VIX page (cboe.com/tradable_products/vix), read 2026-10-31. The page states no time zone for the 8:15 PM label and says values are delayed at least 20 minutes. The 12:12 PM label from yesterday's run did not reconcile with run time either, so treat intraday stamps as printed, not as exchange times. A barometer falling a little each day is weather you can plan around. A barometer that drops 13 percent in one afternoon means somebody saw clouds you have not seen yet. What the Filings ShowNebius is the only watchlist name with new EDGAR entries dated October 29 or later: Form 4 accession 0001513845-26-000143 (director Arne Grimme, 205 shares at $159.04 on 10/27 and 148 shares at $169.84 on 10/28, 10b5-1 plan) and Form 144 accession 0001950047-26-010478 (Boynton trust, 333 shares, $60,719.22 aggregate). Both were in yesterday's post. Cerebras (Nasdaq: CBRS, CIK 2021728) has a Form 144 dated 2026-10-27 and a Form 4 dated 2026-10-28, both before this window and neither opened by me. The form contents are NOT VERIFIED. Nothing new for NVIDIA, Micron, Rocket Lab, AST SpaceMobile, Oklo, IREN, TeraWulf, Broadcom, Intuitive Machines, Wolfspeed, AGNC, Redwire, NuScale, Planet Labs, Orchid Island or Liberty All-Star. NVIDIA's newsroom did list a headline dated October 28, "NVIDIA Sets Conference Call for Third-Quarter Financial Results." The page showed no date or time, so the call date is NOT VERIFIED. What I Could Not VerifyNo primary-source price or volume for any name. Ten issuer newsrooms returned errors or blocked automated reads, including Nebius, Rocket Lab, AST SpaceMobile, Firefly and Micron. Firefly, KEEL, X-energy, RVI, VCX, ARKVX and the correct Destiny Tech100 CIK did not resolve, so nothing on those was checked on EDGAR. The Destiny Tech100 site showed a net asset value of $34.30 per share as of June 30, 2026 and no premium, discount or distribution figure. That NAV is four months old. The Bull Case
The Bear Case
Tight lines, SharkWater Educational and informational purposes only. Not personalized investment advice. All figures sourced as noted and accurate as of publication. The author may hold positions in securities discussed. Do your own work. |